Danger from Nuclear Plume Approaching the US Overstated Says One Expert

For those readers who suspect the radiation dangers to the US are very much overstated,here is an interesting analysis  from an expert professor at the University of California Berkeley.He pretty much supports that view:

Epidemiologist Kirk Smith, a professor of global environmental health in UC
Berkeley’s School of Public Health, is an expert on the health effects of
radiation exposure, such as that from nuclear waste, nuclear power plant
accidents and radon in households. He has been on a number of national
committees to establish risk standards for nuclear power plants and to find
a safe site for high-level nuclear waste disposal. In a recent interview
with UC Berkeley Media Relations, Smith discussed the danger to the U.S.
from radiation released by the four damaged nuclear reactors at the
Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant in Japan.

*Q: There are reports of a plume of radiation headed for the United States
that is expected to hit California on Friday. What is the danger to people
on the West Coast?*

The short answer is, essentially none. There is no such thing as zero risk,
but the risk from the radiation from Japan is orders of magnitude from being
dangerous, by any definition.

To put it into perspective, I live in the hills above the stadium, which is
at a higher elevation than the campus and gets more radiation from cosmic
rays. The difference between the radiation I receive in my office down on
campus and what I receive at my house is many times more than you’d get from
this plume.

Most of the human-caused radiation we receive these days actually comes from
medical procedures, but there are also radiation risks from living at higher
elevations, or taking a plane flight.

We will be able measure whatever radiation gets here, no question. The
nuclear engineering department has monitors on its roof to measure the
radiation. But just because you can measure it doesn’t mean it’s dangerous.

Even after the Chernobyl accident, which released a million times more
radiation than has been released in Japan and produced a plume that went all
over the planet, there was absolutely no risk to people in the United

The pictures on the Web showing a very dangerous-looking plume coming across
the Pacific Ocean is a wonderful testament to our ability to measure things,
but the radiation we measure is not a risk of any consequence.

*Q: Some people have been buying potassium iodide tablets as protection
against possible radioactive iodine in the plume. Is that advisable?*

A: That is a really bad idea. Like any medication, potassium iodide has side
effects. They can be as mild but unpleasant as nausea, but you also can die
from potassium iodide side effects, though it is rare. If you live near a
nuclear reactor and something happens, yes, take potassium iodide to protect
yourself from radioactive iodine. But we are 8,000 kilometers away from the
Japanese reactors, and by the time any radiation gets to us, there will be
no radioactive iodine. It will have decayed – its half life is only eight
days – or dissolved in water and fallen into the ocean.

*Q: What about other precautions?*

People in California do not need to take any precautions because the risk is
insignificant. And when we say that, we can actually be pretty certain,
because we know more about the health effects of radiation than about any
other pollutant, by far. Ironically, that is because of long-term studies of
the survivors of the Japanese atomic bombings in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

After Chernobyl, the Soviets were afraid to admit to the accident, and at
first they didn’t evacuate people from the surrounding area. A large
proportion of the radioactive material in the plant went into the sky due to
the explosion and fire. Neither of these is true in Japan. But even at
Chernobyl, almost all the impact was on the workers in the nuclear plant.
Although the local population experienced some small, long-term cancer risk,
most of the health impact was from stress, anxiety and fear. That is not to
be sneezed at, but that, not radiation, was the major disruption in life,
even to this day, and will probably be so in Japan as well.

*Q:  In terms of radiation release, how does Chernobyl compare to what has
happened in Japan?*

Like the forest fire compared to the camp fire. It is the same kind of
problem, but Chernobyl created a hazard many, many times bigger.

3 responses to “Danger from Nuclear Plume Approaching the US Overstated Says One Expert

  1. I am not persuaded by this post, unfortunately. The author exaggerates the potential harm from simple and proven effective iodine supplements, while essentially pooh-poohing public concern over exposure to what is now an unknown amount of radioactive substances being released into the jet stream and into the earth’s atmosphere. Sorry, but despite the author’s professional credentials, this analysis flies in the face of common sense. Despite the Japanese government’s upgrading of the disaster just this morning, Kirk Smith has no problem categorically downplaying the potential consequences of what we all know is an ongoing crisis of serious and as yet unknown proportions, and therefore loses credibility points. People who fear exposure from radioactive fall-out are well-advised to take precautions in the form of iodine supplements, including applying iodine topically if no KI pills are available.

  2. I understand your skepticism, but what evidence do you have to support your position?

  3. I am quoting and paraphrasing a recent excellent summary of the present juncture.
    As it stands now, four of six Fukushima nuclear reactor sites are irradiating the earth, fire is burning out of control at Reactor No. 4’s pool of spent nuclear fuel, there are six spent fuel pools at risk all told, and the sites are basically too hot to deal with. On March 16, plumes of white vapor began pouring from crippled Reactor No. 3 where the spent fuel pool may already be lost. Over the previous days we were told: nothing to worry about despite the massive earthquake and after shocks, tidal wave, explosions, chemical pollution, the pox of plutonium, contradicting information too obvious to ignore. The situation is nightmarish and appears to be worsening. I hope I am 100% wrong, but at the risk of sounding like a Cassandra, common senses suggests that this may well be one of the most serious challenges humanity has ever faced. By Thursday night, March 17, officials in India and Europe were concerned it may be worse than Chernobyl, and the U.S., Italy and France are evacuating their nationals on specially chartered airplanes. Friday, March 18, the threat level rates six on a seven point international scale of gravity for nuclear accidents. Are we all in massive denial by accepting official reassurances which fly in the face of known facts?

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